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According to the recent results and the current position of the teams in the league table, the forecast for the upcoming match between Union and Penarol doesn't look good for Union. With five consecutive losses and the last position in the table, Union is not in form, while Penarol shows stability and has an advantage in direct encounters with Union. Having won six games in a row against Union, Penarol is clearly the favorite in this match. However, it's worth noting that in sports, anything is possible, and a bad streak could have just been a temporary setback for Union. The team may just need a win to regain confidence and climb up the standings. Moreover, there's always room for surprises in football, and Union can use their home atmosphere to try and change the course of events. Therefore, although the statistics unequivocally point to Penarol's advantage, football games don't always follow logic and predictions. Ultimately, the outcome of the match will depend on the teams' performance, motivation, and luck. Nevertheless, at the moment, Penarol is the more promising team with a stronger position in the championship.