Tajikistan - Lebanon

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Based on the current form and previous performances of the teams, it can be assumed that Tajikistan has a better chance of winning the match against Lebanon. As mentioned in the text, the Tajikistan national team is playing well under the guidance of their German-Croatian coach and consistently improving their position in the FIFA rankings. They have shown a strong performance and competed well against strong teams like China and Qatar. On the other hand, a team like Lebanon does not have as impressive a track record or results on the international stage. Their games do not generate as much interest or success as the Tajikistan national team. Furthermore, the Tajikistan team needs to win in order to continue their quest for qualification in the next stage of the Asian Cup. This will be an additional motivator for the team to strive for success on the field. In conclusion, based on these factors and arguments, it can be assumed that the Tajikistan national team has a better chance of winning the match against Lebanon. They have better form, successful previous performances, and motivation to achieve victory.