According to the provided information, it can be concluded that Punicorn is showing unsatisfactory results in defense. This could pose certain problems for the team, especially when facing a strong opponent. On the other hand, the home team, considering their playing qualities and stability, have a good chance of winning with a goal difference of a few points. An argument in favor of this prediction could be that the home team shows better results in games at their stadium, as well as their excellent attacking line. Moreover, Punicorn's weak defensive play, which provides space for dangerous attacks from the home team, can be another additional argument. Taking into account all these factors, it can be concluded that the home team has a better chance of winning with a goal difference of a few points in this game.