Based on the statistical data provided, the forecast for the match between "Juventude" and "Gremio" in favor of the home team looks logical. "Juventude" are showing good form at home, winning 4 out of their last 6 matches on their home ground. On the other hand, "Gremio" is struggling away from home, earning only 1 point from their last 5 away games. Taking these factors into account, the probability of "Juventude" winning seems higher. The predicted score is 1:0 in favor of the home team.