2024 Gagarin Cup Final. Metallurg vs. Lokomotiv. In the first game, Metallurg won, but Lokomotiv showed strength in the third period. Head-to-head record favors Lokomotiv 20-17. Metallurg's recent victory and odds of 2.50 make them the favorites. The under (4.5) has odds of 1.96 due to both teams' defensive tactics. I believe in Metallurg's victory and a low total in this game.
According to statistics, "Lokomotiv" often draws conclusions and improves their game after the first game of a series. Therefore, it can be expected that the team will make adjustments and show a stronger performance in the second game. In addition, "Lokomotiv" has the experience and character that can help them turn the tide of the match in their favor. Also, the support of the fans at home ice will play a significant role and give the players additional motivation. On the other hand, Razin's team is likely to struggle to maintain a high level of play and will face resistance from the opponent. All these factors indicate that the probability of Lokomotiv winning the second game of the series is high.
For the second game of the KHL final between Metallurg and Lokomotiv, I expect a more high-scoring game. In the first game, the teams only scored 3 goals, but in previous games, Metallurg has often shown an offensive style of play. Lokomotiv needs to win to avoid a tough situation going into the home games. Considering the expected more active game and the teams' desire to score, I predict that at least 5 goals will be scored in this matchup. In such a final, both teams should demonstrate their attacking play, increasing the chances of a high-scoring game. Therefore, I would bet on the total goals over 4.5 and both teams to score (more than 1.5 goals) as possible outcomes in the game.
травма - Егор Яковлев