In the match between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals, I prefer the home team. The Lightning have been showing consistent performance and are occupying a higher position in the standings, but the Capitals have strong statistics in head-to-head matches. In their recent games, they have demonstrated resilience and have been able to achieve desired results even in difficult situations. They still have games where they can climb higher in the standings. The odds for a Capitals win are high, making them an attractive bet in terms of risk and potential profit.