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I think in this match it's worth paying attention to Darderi. Fritz is not showing the best results on clay, while Darderi started the tournament in Madrid with a victory over Monfils. Despite Fritz being a top-20 player, his opponent has already surprised many and shown good tennis. The odds also suggest a possible surprise. Considering Darderi's form and Fritz's weaknesses on clay, the winning option here is to bet on the Italian.