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Analyzing the situation, it can be assumed that in the match between Joao and Billy, the advantage will be on the side of the British player. Billy has a better understanding of the turf and the support of the local crowd, which could give him a significant edge. Additionally, Joao's lack of competition for a spot in the quarterfinals may affect his motivation and performance. In a showdown between the two players, these factors could play a key role, making the British player the favorite in the match. Taking into account the arguments above, it is presumed that Billy has a better chance of defeating Joao.