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According to the analysis, Matteo Gigante looks more preferable in the match against Fabio Fognini. He has more success on hard courts, won the first round, and shows stable break point conversion. Fognini, although a clay court specialist, has been displaying inconsistent results, especially in challenger events. Taking this into consideration, it is recommended to place a bet on Gigante with a game handicap of +2.5 at odds of 1.81.