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In this match, I recommend betting on Marcos Hiron's victory. Hiron is an experienced and talented player who has shown good results in this tournament and has an advantage in head-to-head matches against Tommy Paul. While Paul's current form leaves something to be desired, Hiron has displayed good form and has defeated several strong opponents on his way to the main draw of the tournament. He also has the edge in their previous meetings, winning five out of six matches. This indicates that Hiron is a difficult opponent for Paul and has a better chance of winning. Considering these facts, betting on Hiron's victory seems the most reasonable and rational option.