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In the previous match, Sabalenka faced a tough opponent and had difficulties winning. At the same time, Kasatkina showed good adaptation to the hard court surface in this tournament, defeating two opponents. Sabalenka has less experience playing on hard court and also showed problems with physical stamina in the previous match. Kasatkina will likely use a similar tactic that was successful against Li, and if Sabalenka can't handle it, her chances of winning will be low. In conclusion, based on the arguments from the text, it can be assumed that Kasatkin has a better chance of winning this match.
