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Italian tennis player Matteo Berrettini is in good shape after winning the home tournament and showing a consistent level of play. His opponent, Gilles Simon, could prove to be a worthy adversary and put up a good fight. However, considering Matteo's good form and experience on clay courts, it is worth considering the Italian's victory. Also, a tense battle is expected, possibly extending to three sets. Therefore, over sets or match duration bets could be viable options.