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In this situation, my recommendation would be to stick with the prediction of Liu winning this match. Liu has been finding her form and improving her results after a slump. She has shown good performances on clay tournaments, indicating her adaptation to this surface. Her recent matches against top-100 opponents have shown that she can stay in the game and prolong matches. Her opponent, Yuan, although being American, has not been achieving comparable results on the international level. Therefore, it can be concluded that Liu will dictate the pace of the game and have an advantage. Thus, I suggest betting in favor of Liu as the favorite in this match.