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According to the presented data, MacDonald is in good shape, unlike his opponent Paul. Tommy has had some difficulties with dangerous opponents in Asia, but he has been able to overcome some of them. MacDonald's recent winning performance against Max Persella speaks to his ability to win. On the other hand, Paul has been struggling in his recent matches and his form is low. This is reflecting in his game and gives MacDonald the opportunity to take advantage of this. Based on these facts, it can be assumed that MacDonald has a good chance of defeating Paul. However, as with any sports prediction, there is always room for surprises and the game's outcomes may be different. Conclusion: MacDonald is likely to defeat Paul, but much will depend on their form and performance during the match.