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In the Arnaudi vs. Karatsev match, it is difficult to identify an absolute favorite. Both players have shown good results, but they have different advantages. Arnaudi is quickly progressing and is just catching up to the main tour, while Karatsev already has a rich experience. However, I would give preference to the Italian. The main argument in favor of Arnaudi is his stability on serve. It is important to note that the match will be played on Chinese hard court, in conditions of high speed. The Italian knows how to maintain high speeds and successfully controls his serve. At the same time, Karatsev may find himself in a more difficult position in the exchange of shots on the counter, which can lead to errors. Furthermore, Arnaudi has shown stability in recent competitions. He has been able to showcase a high level of play and achieve good results. This indicates that he may have an advantage over Karatsev. So, taking into account all the arguments, my prediction is a victory for Arnaudi in this match. He demonstrates stability on serve and knows how to maintain high speeds, which can help him secure the win.
