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I predict Grégoire Barrère's victory in the Astana Open ATP250 tournament against Jurij Rodionov. Barrère has a higher ranking (63 vs 107) and better statistics on indoor hard courts. He is also an experienced player and has good results on similar surfaces. Rodionov, on the other hand, is in poor form and has struggled even against weaker opponents in the qualifying rounds. Barrère already defeated Rodionov on indoor courts last year as well. Taking all of this into consideration, the likelihood of Barrère winning seems higher.
