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In my opinion, it is worth betting on Pavel Kotov in this match. There are several main reasons supporting this choice. Firstly, Pavel is in good form. He has gained a good rhythm and successfully acclimatized in China, as evidenced by his victories over players he was supposed to beat. Additionally, he was able to compete in three sets against Zverev and Kecmanovic, indicating a high level of his game. The second reason in favor of Kotov is the difficulties Amvot Arthur will face. He has planned too complicated routes, flying to different corners of the world and not showing good results. After the US Open, he immediately went to the Davis Cup in Europe and then traveled to the other side of the world for the Laver Cup. Such constant travel can negatively affect his game. It is likely that Arthur will find it difficult to showcase his high potential, tired from constant flights. Finally, in terms of playing level, Pavel Kotov is not far behind the Frenchman. Thanks to his good form and successful adaptation in China, he has every chance of defeating his opponent. In conclusion, I believe that Pavel Kotov has a greater chance of winning this match. Having gained a good rhythm and successfully adapted to the conditions, he can prevail over Amvot Arthur, whose game has been negatively affected by constant travel.
The forecast for the match between Pavel Kotov and Arthur Renno can be considered as Kotov's handicap in games (+3.5). Alexander Zverev noted that Kotov played very strongly and did not allow him to win in the first two sets, which speaks to the high level of Kotov's game. Kotov has been competing on the hard courts in China for several weeks, which can also give him an advantage over Renno, who is not yet as dangerous on outdoor hard courts. It is also worth noting that Pavel has participated in the Davis Cup and the Laver Cup, which speaks to his experience and preparedness for such important matches. Renno may have a higher ranking, but Kotov appears better prepared and more promising in head-to-head encounters. Overall, the forecast for Kotov's victory with a handicap in games (+3.5) seems logical and justified, based on the data and arguments described in the text.
