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A bet on Sloane Stevens to win the match against Haddad Maia seems reasonable. Firstly, it should be noted that Haddad Maia's performance at the moment is not consistent and this can impact her results. On the other hand, Sloane Stevens is showing stronger gameplay and has been performing well on hard courts recently. Another argument in favor of Stevens is the support from the home crowd. Any athlete feels the support of the home spectators, and this can give her additional motivation and energy on the court. Additionally, it is worth mentioning that Haddad Maia has less experience competing at a high level, especially in tournaments like the US Open. Meanwhile, Sloane Stevens already has experience playing in such events and knows how to handle herself in important matches. Taking all these factors into account, it can be assumed that Sloane Stevens has a better chance of winning this match. However, in sports, anything is possible and Haddad Maia could surprise and show good gameplay. Nevertheless, based on these facts, placing a bet on Stevens' victory seems more rational.