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The likelihood of Kenin's performance at the tournament is in question due to her recent absence from the court, but she got lucky with the draw to face Bogdan, who hasn't been performing well and exited the previous two hard court tournaments. Kenin, likely, has been training hard leading up to her home USO-2023 and will be determined to win. Her home support and the advantage of playing on her home turf can help her defeat the Romanian. Therefore, the probability of Kenin winning looks quite high, so our prediction is P2.