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In this match, the likely result will be 6-3, 6-3 in favor of the Italian. The opponent is also strong, but it is not worth overloading the line and setting high handicaps. The Italian has the strength and is capable of winning 3-0, but it is better to avoid excessive tension at the beginning of the tournament.
At previous tournaments, Matteo Berrettini has demonstrated a high level of play, dominating opponents and closing out matches quickly. The match against Tommy Paul suggests an advantage for Berrettini, considering his strong performance on clay courts. It is expected that the Italian will dominate with powerful shots and strong serving, leading to a quick resolution of the match in his favor. With a high likelihood of Berrettini's victory, I predict he will win in three sets with a score of 6-3, 6-4, 6-2, with a total number of games less than 26, as he tends to dominate and not give opponents many chances to win.