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In this match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Sebastian Baez, I lean towards the victory of the Spaniard. The text suggests that Carballes Baena is in good form and is playing excellently. In the first game, he showcased a powerful first serve, which can be an advantage in this matchup. On the other hand, Baez has only one win in five games and doesn't have as many options in his arsenal. It is noted that the Spaniard handles balls on the baseline solidly, which can be another plus for him. Also, considering Baez's recent defeats, it can be assumed that Carballes Baena will have the upper hand in this matchup. Thus, based on the text, my prediction is a victory for Roberto Carballes Baena.
At the Baes - Carballes Baena match, a showdown between strong baseliners on clay is expected. Both players have shown good results on this surface this year, with Baes having the advantage as he has a winning record on clay both this season and throughout his career. However, Carballes Baena has an impressive winning balance on clay throughout his career, indicating his experience and adaptation to this surface. An important factor is that Baes has lost his last six matches against seeded players, which may affect his confidence in this match. Carballes Baena also shows consistent results in recent matches on Australian courts and has exchanged sets in eight out of ten outings. In their previous meeting at an exhibition in Germany, Carballes Baena was able to defeat Baes, showcasing his ability to handle strong opponents. Therefore, a tightly contested match with a total games exceeding 21.5 is predicted in the Baes - Carballes Baena match. It is suggested to bet on over (21.5) games, considering the high likelihood of a large number of games and the fighting preparation of both players on clay.
