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Tomas Machac has won his previous two matches against Matteo Arnaldi and has a more impressive record of wins in recent games. Moreover, their last meeting at the Miami Masters ended with Machac winning in straight sets. Considering these factors, it can be assumed that Machac will maintain his successful streak and secure a victory in this match. It is also worth noting that Machac's current level seems to be higher than Arnaldi's, making him the favorite in this encounter.
Matteo Berrettini has shown excellent form in recent tournaments, winning matches with a large margin against strong opponents. His confidence and solid shot execution make him one of the favorites in the match against Tomas Machac. Tomas has not shown such consistent results and is likely to struggle in the match. Berrettini has the advantage in experience and skill, allowing him to control the game's rhythm and dictate the conditions on the court. All signs point to Matteo winning this match.