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Bautista Agut is a strong clay-court player with excellent tennis intelligence, which can help him handle the favorite - Arnaldi. Matteo showed a good game in the last match in Madrid, however Roberto is more experienced on clay courts. A close battle is expected between them, so the total over 21.5 seems like the right choice for this match.
The match between Arnaudi and Bautista-Agut promises to be interesting. Arnaudi has been showing inconsistent play, although he defeated Djokovic. He needs to improve his work from the baseline. Bautista-Agut is strong on the baseline and can put up a fight. I expect three sets in this match. Arnaudi may come out on top, but it won't be easy for him.