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Alejandro Tabilo has shown some good performances in recent tournaments, not immediately exiting from the competitions. In the last match in Basel, he even defeated Marin Cilic. However, at the Paris Masters, he doesn't have a lot of chances to go far, considering the strong competition and the form of his opponents. Therefore, the likelihood of beating the in-form Bautista is quite low.
My prediction is a win for Tabilo. Borghes lost to Rublev on indoor without much of a fight, while Tabilo has more practice on this surface. Borghes has only played one match since the US Open, whereas Tabilo showed a good game against Rublev, losing only due to a mistake. Also, Tabilo looks more ready for this match.
In the match between Nuno Borges and Alejandro Tabilo, we can expect a match with both players showing variable form. Borges plays well on hard courts, as does Tabilo. Bookmakers have Tabilo as the favorite, but it's not a sure bet for an easy victory for him. A bet on the over total games seems more likely, considering that the Portuguese player is likely to hold his serves, and the Chilean player will also compete throughout the match.