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Shamil Gaziev has an advantage in technique, experience, and cardio. Petersen is strong in the early stages of the fight but lacks in technique. Gaziev can control the fight on the ground and finish his opponent. Betting on Gaziev's victory or an early finish (TKO/submission) is logical due to his versatility and experience. The total under 2.5 rounds is also a good choice, considering the likelihood of Gaziev finishing the fight early.
My prediction is that Shamyl will win. He is the favorite, although not at 1.2 odds. Yes, he didn't perform well against the top fighters in the past, but this time he should win. Thomas is good in grappling, but he can only win if he takes the fight to the ground. I believe in Shamyl, he can defeat this underdog.