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Forecast: The victory will be for the 2nd fighter. Arguments: 1. The fighter better controls the fight in the stand-up and has a good sharp strike, which can give him an advantage in the striking part of the fight. 2. The dangerous fighter's tactics put pressure on the opponent, forcing him to work in defense, which can also lead to victory. 3. Considering these factors, the probability of victory for the 2nd fighter is higher than for his opponent.