Fabio Fognini is the favorite in the match against Roberto Bautista Agut. The Italian is showing excellent form on grass courts, winning two matches by a decent margin. Additionally, Fognini has the advantage in head-to-head meetings with Bautista, leading 9-3. The statistics and recent performances favor the Italian tennis player, making his victory in this match more likely. Therefore, betting on Fabio Fognini seems reasonable and justified.