Prediction: Ben Shelton +7.5 games against Carlos Alcaraz. Shelton has shown solid performance in recent matches, especially at home. His powerful serve and aggressive playing style may pose problems for the favorite. The American only needs to win a few games to cover the handicap. The support of the home crowd, lack of pressure, and the underdog role could help Shelton showcase his best tennis. The odds of 2.24 for this handicap are fair and even slightly generous.
In the match between Shelton and Alcaraz, Alcaraz is more likely to win. Shelton has weak results against top players, which may affect his confidence and gameplay stability. Also, considering that Alcaraz is starting to show significant progress, he is likely to continue improving his game and performance on the court. On clay, Alcaraz can use his strengths such as speed and technique, giving him additional advantages. Overall, Alcaraz seems to have a higher chance of winning in this situation.